The positive effects on the Spanish housing market of the coronavirus crisis!
It's always good to try and find the positive ones during the current coronavirus crisis in Spain. This is confirmed by the housing market and tries to gain a better understanding of the health crisis and the economic blow expected from COVID-19. Despite the paralysis of sales operations and experts expecting to see a recovery at least before the end of the year in the housing market, the sector is optimistic and relies on the pandemic to bring about some positive changes. real estate in qatar
This is the point of view of Comprarcasa, a
network of 150 immobilization agencies in Spain and Portugal which in its two
decades of business has scales over 120,000 transactions. The company in a
recent study summarized the 'good habits,' which could remain in the real
estate market after the crisis. This includes the market explosion of
technological devices, buyer empowerment, low interest rates and the industry's
growing professionalism.
Let us look at these potential good habits
that could emerge from the crisis:
Price drop and authorization of the buyer
Interest rates continue to be low
A refuge for investment in times of
uncertainty
Technological tools explosion
Many vacation rentals will change their use
Professional rental management will keep
growing
Only the best survives
delay in the rental of sector criticized
measures
The need to rethink urban planning and
architecture
Price drop and authorization of the buyer
The network considers it inevitable that
the house prices will drop according to the theory of Century 21. This crisis
will force many people to lower the price of their homes, particularly if they
wish to close the deal as soon as possible, to adapt to the new circumstances.
The market is already envisaging a fall of
10-15% in prices, but all will depend on the depth and duration of this crisis,
but what is clear is, 'we face months in which buyers have their say again.'
Interest rates continue to be low
Another great news is that central banks
around the world maintain accommodating financial conditions in order to deal with
the crisis, as long as there is no inflation pressure. Therefore, eurozone
interest rates could stay at historically low current rates of 0.0 percent
after 2022. As a result, family and business interest rates on credit will
remain low and the 12-month Euribor, reference indicator for most mortgages in
Spain, will not sharply increase.
"This cheapening of mortgages and the
decline in financial markets lead us to believe that the sector will continue
to be a key asset for investors, and that the impact on the medium and high
segments of the property will be short-lived," Comprarcasa's experts
added.
A refuge for investment in times of
uncertainty
The study reminds us that, as has happened
in the past, the recovery in this sector is always very intense once the most
critical moments are over. The experts also add that the volatility that is
affecting the financial markets, combined with the predictions of an extended
era of ultra low interest rates, leads them to believe that "the real
estate sector remains an interesting investment destination."
Technological tools explosion
This containment period will also boost the
industry's commitment to technology and new digital tools. "Many
immobilization professionals use this hiatus to train staff, update their tools
and strengthen customer relations through technology." For example, both
virtual home tours and contractual formalization or payment of deposits are on
the rise digitally.
Many vacation rentals will change their use
In view of the likely setback in the
tourism sector, the supply of long term rental flats on the market will also
change from the holiday rental market to the traditional market. This increase
will be accompanied by the network stresses "natural downward price
adjustment."
Professional rental management will keep
growing
Comprarcasa believes that the
government-approved package of measures to assist tenants who are large and
small, "Will be of great assistance to vulnerable tenants, without a
doubt. Moreover, large holders (who own a large number of properties) have
provided their own contingency plans to the most vulnerable in these
challenging times. "This fact leads us to believe that professional asset
management enables a more effective response than private owners and that after
that crisis, this trend would be further consolidated," insists the study.
Only the best survives
As is the case with other industries, companies
that are best prepared to recover best from the economic blow while the weakest
are at risk of disappearing. "Immobilizers, ongoing training, network
operation, complementary services, financial instruments and brand strength
will make the difference between survival or not," says the study.
delay in the rental of sector criticized
measures
To date, the spread of the epidemic has
left one of the government's main measures in the air: rent control. Despite
the planned presentation of the rental price index in the first quarter of
2020, the Ministry of Transport, mobility and Urban Agenda (Mitma, formerly
known as Fomento), the measure was postponed. Minister José Luis Ábalos' goal
is also postponed to present to Congress a "initiative to control rental prices
in areas where there have been exorbitant rises."
Both actions have been criticized by the
opposition and by the immobilization market. Indeed, national and international
organizations, economic experts and the sector have warned for a long time that
establishing rent controls could be counterproductive for the housing rental
market itself.
The need to rethink urban planning and
architecture
Finally, the study highlights that "It
is quite likely that the traces left by these weeks of confinement, with the
"balcony" phenomenon and neighborhood coexistence, lead to a profound
reflection of the houses that are to be built in the very near future.
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